NHL is in beta testing. Its locks are graded in public on their own record, kept separate from our main NFL record, wins and losses.
The best value Overs on the board, graded against the sharp market price · 11 games up next.
Poisson projections from TOI, shot rates, PP role and the opposing goalie, calibrated on last season. Tap any play for the player card.
Up to 3 per game, locked a few hours before puck drop. 1 unit each, graded in public.
Colorado Avalanche @ Philadelphia Flyers
Free account to see this lock
EV is the edge at the best price. The grade adds whether we trust it: A+ and A are the top Overs where 3+ books price the line, our projection agrees, and the edge is positive. A bigger EV on a thin market (1 to 3 books) or with the projection against it caps at B, so a B can show more EV than an A+. Tap any play to see why.
Ivar Stenberg
Over 0.5 Assists
Sharks@
Leafs
Macklin Celebrini
Over 1.5 Points
Sharks@Leafs
Gabriel Landeskog
Over 0.5 Points
Avalanche@
Flyers
Nick Schmaltz
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
Penguins@
Mammoth
Alex Wennberg
Over 0.5 Assists
Sharks@Leafs
Nazem Kadri
Over 0.5 Assists
Avalanche@Flyers
Easton Cowan
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Sharks@Leafs
Evgeni Malkin
Over 0.5 Points
Penguins@Mammoth
Will Cuylle
Over 0.5 Assists
Ducks@
Rangers
Erik Karlsson
Over 0.5 Assists
Penguins@Mammoth
| Grade | Player | Matchup | Prop | Best | EV | L10 | Signal | Parlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B | Ivar Stenberg | Sharks@Leafs | Over 0.5 Assists | +217 NV | +9.1% | 4/8 | PP1SOFT GOALIE | |
| B | Macklin Celebrini | Sharks@Leafs | Over 1.5 Points | +160 MGM | +8.0% | 7/10 | PP1TOP LINE | |
| B | Gabriel Landeskog | Avalanche@Flyers | Over 0.5 Points | +135 NV | +5.3% | 6/10 | Season 23/40 | |
| A | Nick Schmaltz | Penguins@Mammoth | Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | +125 NV | +5.2% | 5/10 | PP1TOP LINE | |
| B | AW Alex Wennberg | Sharks@Leafs | Over 0.5 Assists | +188 MGM | +4.8% | - | NO PLAYER DATA | |
| B | Nazem Kadri | Avalanche@Flyers | Over 0.5 Assists | +182 NV | +3.9% | 4/10 | PP1TOP LINE | |
| A | Easton Cowan | Sharks@Leafs | Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | +100 NV | +2.6% | 8/10 | PP1 | |
| A | Evgeni Malkin | Penguins@Mammoth | Over 0.5 Points | -104 NV | +2.3% | 5/10 | PP1SOFT GOALIE | |
| B | Will Cuylle | Ducks@Rangers | Over 0.5 Assists | +330 DK | +2.1% | 3/10 | SOFT GOALIE | |
| A | Erik Karlsson | Penguins@Mammoth | Over 0.5 Assists | +106 NV | +2.0% | 7/10 | PP1TOP LINE |